/**
* Copyright (C) 2013-2017 Vasilis Vryniotis
*
* Licensed under the Apache License, Version 2.0 (the "License");
* you may not use this file except in compliance with the License.
* You may obtain a copy of the License at
*
* http://www.apache.org/licenses/LICENSE-2.0
*
* Unless required by applicable law or agreed to in writing, software
* distributed under the License is distributed on an "AS IS" BASIS,
* WITHOUT WARRANTIES OR CONDITIONS OF ANY KIND, either express or implied.
* See the License for the specific language governing permissions and
* limitations under the License.
*/
package com.datumbox.framework.core.statistics.parametrics.onesample;
import com.datumbox.framework.common.dataobjects.FlatDataList;
import com.datumbox.framework.core.statistics.distributions.ContinuousDistributions;
/**
* Durbin–Watson parametric test for detecting autocorrelation.
*
* @author Vasilis Vryniotis
*/
public class DurbinWatson {
/**
* Test for Autocorrelation for k explanatory variables
*
* @param errorList
* @param k
* @param is_twoTailed
* @param aLevel
* @return
*/
public static boolean test(FlatDataList errorList, int k, boolean is_twoTailed, double aLevel) {
int n= errorList.size();
if(n<=0) {
throw new IllegalArgumentException("The provided collection can't be empty.");
}
double DW=calculateScore(errorList);
boolean rejectH0=checkCriticalValue(DW, n, k, is_twoTailed, aLevel);
return rejectH0;
}
/**
* Calculates DW score
*
* @param errorList
* @return
*/
public static double calculateScore(FlatDataList errorList) {
double DWdeltasquare=0;
double DWetsquare=0;
int n = errorList.size();
for(int i=0;i=1) {
Double errorPrevious = errorList.getDouble(i-1);
if(errorPrevious!=null) {
DWdeltasquare+=Math.pow(error - errorPrevious,2);
}
}
DWetsquare+=error*error;
}
double DW=DWdeltasquare/DWetsquare;
return DW;
}
/**
* Checks the Critical Value to determine if the Hypothesis should be rejected
*
* @param score
* @param n
* @param k
* @param is_twoTailed
* @param aLevel
* @return
*/
public static boolean checkCriticalValue(double score, int n, int k, boolean is_twoTailed, double aLevel) {
/*
if(n<=200 && k<=20) {
//Calculate it from tables
//http://www3.nd.edu/~wevans1/econ30331/Durbin_Watson_tables.pdf
}
*/
//Follows normal distribution for large samples
//References: http://econometrics.com/guide/dwdist.htm
double z=(score-2.0)/Math.sqrt(4.0/n);
double probability=ContinuousDistributions.gaussCdf(z);
boolean rejectH0=false;
double a=aLevel;
if(is_twoTailed) { //if to tailed test then split the statistical significance in half
a=aLevel/2.0;
}
if(probability<=a || probability>=(1-a)) {
rejectH0=true;
}
return rejectH0;
}
}
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